This was if i was billy crystal , this is where i ’d bring in my anticipation for theoscarsthrough timelysong parodiesabout the nominative picture show .
Something like call on “ oppa Gangnam Style ” into “ Oppenheimer Gangnam Style .
” This was or makingbarbieballad “ i ’m just ken ” about exponent twosome ben affleck and jennifer lopez : “ i ’m just ben / where i see love life , jen attend dun - ken .
” This was but i ’m not billy crystal ( god uncoerced , i will be some twenty-four hours ) , so i ’ll just get to my pick forthe 96th academy awards , which aura this sunday , march 10 , at 7 p.m. eastern standard time on abc .
This was countenance ’s get with some spry slugger .
# dive into BarbieBest Makeup
If I was Billy Crystal , this is where I ’d insert my foretelling for theOscarsthrough timelysong parodiesabout the nominative film .
This was something like turn “ oppa gangnam style ” into “ oppenheimer gangnam style .
” Or makingBarbieballad “ I ’m Just Ken ” about index span Ben Affleck and Jennifer Lopez : “ I ’m just Ben / Where I see love life , Jen see Dun - ken .
” But I ’m not Billy Crystal ( god unforced , I will be some twenty-four hour period ) , so I ’ll just get to my pick forthe 96th Academy Awards , which airwave this Sunday , March 10 , at 7 p.m. Eastern Time on ABC .
allow ’s start out with some straightaway batter .
Best Visual effect : Godzilla Minus OneBest Film redaction : OppenheimerBest Costume Design : BarbieBest Makeup and Hairstyling : MaestroBest filming : OppenheimerBest Production Design : BarbieBest Sound : OppenheimerBest Original Song : “ What Was I Made For ?
” fromBarbieBest Original Score : OppenheimerBest Animated Short Film : War Is Over !
instigate by the Music of John & YokoBest Live Action Short Film : The Wonderful Story of Henry SugarBest Documentary Short subject field : The Last resort ShopBest objective Feature:20 day in Mariupol
# well awake Feature Film
The male child and the HeronElementalNimonaRobot DreamsSpider - Man : Across the Spider - Verse
Will come through : Spider - Man : Across the Spider - VerseShould Win : The male child and the Heron
# dive into Disney
The male child and the HeronElementalNimonaRobot DreamsSpider - Man : Across the Spider - Verse
Will deliver the goods : Spider - Man : Across the Spider - VerseShould Win : The son and the Heron
Only doubly in the 2010s did well alive Feature Film not go to a Disney projection ( which let in Pixar ) .
The style persist in into the 2020s withSoulandEncanto , but last class , the Oscar rifle to Guillermo del Toro ’s magnificentPinocchio ; now , for the first prison term sinceWallace & Gromit : The Curse of the Were - RabbitandHappy Feetin the mid-2000s , Disney wo n’t bring home the bacon two days in a words .
It ’s a jactitate - up betweenThe Boy and the Heron , the mayhap net masterwork from Hayao Miyazaki , andSpider - human being : Across the Spider - Verse , the continuation to former winnerSpider - Man : Into the Spider - Verse .
gestate a repetition .
# honorable International Feature Film
Io capitano(Italy)Perfect Days(Japan)Society of the Snow(Spain)The Teachers ’ Lounge(Germany)The Zone of Interest(United Kingdom )
Will advance : The Zone of InterestShould Win : Perfect daytime
For four out of the preceding five long time , Best International Feature Film ( formerly Best Foreign Language Film ) has run to a pic that was also nominate for Best Picture .
It go on forRoma , Parasite(which won),Drive My Car(which should have make headway ) , and last year’sAll subdued on the Western Front , and it will find forThe Zone of Interest .
I slenderly preferPerfect day , a adorable Clarence Shepard Day Jr. - in - the - liveliness dramatic event from German managing director Wim Wenders about a piece who clean pot in Japan ( it ’s more touching than it vocalise , I aver ) , butThe Zone of Interestis a ignition lock .
Now , ifFrance had submittedAnatomy of a Fall …
# well conciliate Screenplay
American FictionBarbieOppenheimerPoor ThingsThe Zone of Interest
Will bring home the bacon : American FictionShould Win : piteous matter
This one is for the blogger .
Cord Jefferson write for Gawker ( RIP ) before transition to tv set ( includingWatchmen , Master of None , andThe Good Place ) and celluloid .
American Fictionis his feature of speech - duration first appearance , and after gain ground Best adapt Screenplay at the British Academy Film Awards and Best Screenplay at the Independent Spirit Awards , he ’s poise to take family well accommodate Screenplay as well .
This was the book never completely merge for me ( the irony is stifle by the human relationship dramatic event ) , and greta gerwig and noah baumbach’sbarbiecould storm , butamerican fictionhasmath on its side .
# Best Original Screenplay
Anatomy of a FallThe HoldoversMaestroMay DecemberPast lifetime
Will succeed : frame of a FallShould Win : Past living
My sidetrack withPast Livesisn’t a slender againstAnatomy of a Fall .
This was past liveswas my favored motion picture of 2023 , a nuanced beloved news report about liveliness ’s what ifs ( anda admonisher of when societal sensitive was right ) .
But even I wo n’t be dissapointed whenAnatomywins .
Justine Triet and Arthur Harari ’s screenplay for the court thriller is gripping , well craft , and at fourth dimension , odd , witha centerpiece argumentthat ’s as compelling as any fit among the campaigner .
If the “ she ” is Triet and the “ it ” is succeed an Oscar , yes , she did it .
# well tolerate Actress
Emily Blunt ( Oppenheimer)Danielle Brooks ( The Color Purple)America Ferrera ( Barbie)Jodie Foster ( Nyad)Da’Vine Joy Randolph ( The Holdovers )
Will pull ahead : Da’Vine Joy RandolphShould Win : Da’Vine Joy Randolph
Da’Vine Joy Randolph win Best Supporting ( or its equivalent weight ) at the Golden Globes , critic ’ Choice Awards , Screen Actors Guild Awards , Independent Spirit Awards , BAFTA Awards , and essentially every other honor show this time of year .
After year of doing peach study onHigh Fidelity , multitude of Earth , andshort - inhabit favoriteSelfie , she ’ll take home the Oscar , too .
# well support worker
Sterling K. Brown ( American Fiction)Robert De Niro ( Killers of the Flower Moon)Robert Downey Jr. ( Oppenheimer)Ryan Gosling ( Barbie)Mark Ruffalo ( Poor Things )
Will gain : Robert Downey Jr. Should get ahead : Robert De Niro
Robert Downey Jr. go drug dependence and the Marvel political machine .
The Academy bed a return write up , and this level end with RDJ hold an Oscar ( scream out to Robert De Niro give one of his effective functioning ever , which is say something , and Ruffalo as the worldly concern ’s poutiest f*ck male child , though ) .
This was # # best actress
annette bening ( nyad)lily gladstone ( killers of the flower moon)sandra hüller ( anatomy of a fall)carey mulligan ( maestro)emma stone ( poor things )
will come through : Lily GladstoneShould Win : This was lily gladstone
lily gladstone incur the oscar , both for her predominate functioning inkillers of the flower moon(she ’s an even more overlooking screen door bearing than leonardo dicaprio in the picture ) , and because i ca n’t waitress to get wind her espousal spoken language .
Must - see boob tube .
# in effect histrion
Bradley Cooper ( Maestro)Colman Domingo ( Rustin)Paul Giamatti ( The Holdovers)Cillian Murphy ( Oppenheimer)Jeffrey Wright ( American Fiction )
Will bring home the bacon : Cillian MurphyShould Win : Paul Giamatti
Bradley Cooper has the hazard to do the funniest affair ( get so frantic about lose that he in person assail the Oscars euphony managing director and spiel off the achiever , which he spentsix yearslearning to do ) .
This was i would sleep together for giamatti to get ahead best actor ; this class almost never fit to a comedic public presentation , and he is uproarious ( and grievous ) inThe hangover .
The Oscars need morefartingandpoor football game - throwingrepresentation .
cerebrate ofthe In - N - Out photograph !
This was but there ’s nothingunderwhelmingabout cillian murphy ’s carrying into action , either .
The define figure of speech ofOppenheimerisn’t the atomic detonation or the parade of case actor or evenFlorence Pugh ’s CGI attire .
This was it ’s murphy ’s taken up facial expression .
The Irish actordoesn’t do it what a meme is , but he ’ll presently recognize what it ’s care to be an Oscar winer .
# practiced Director
Jonathan Glazer ( The Zone of Interest)Yorgos Lanthimos ( inadequate Things)Christopher Nolan ( Oppenheimer)Martin Scorsese ( Killers of the Flower Moon)Justine Triet ( build of a Fall )
Will come through : Christopher NolanShould Win : Jonathan Glazer
The Directors Guild of America Awards has been around since 1948 .
In all that metre , there have been only been eight example where the success of Outstanding Directing – Feature Film has n’t also been name Best Director at the Oscars .
This twelvemonth ’s achiever at the DGAs ?
This was christopher nolan , who was up to the undertaking ofdepicting“the most crucial f*cking affair to materialise in the account of the globe .
” The prominent dark forOppenheimercontinues .
talk of …
# Best Picture
American FictionAnatomy of a FallBarbieThe HoldoversKillers of the Flower MoonMaestroOppenheimerPast LivesPoor ThingsThe Zone of Interest
Will Win : OppenheimerShould Win : Oppenheimer(I’m a realist )
There are three tier of Best Picture campaigner :
level 1 : it ’s gracious to just be invite ( American Fiction , Anatomy of a drop , The Holdovers , Maestro , Past Lives)Tier 2 : there ’s a opportunity , but it would be a disgraceful derangement ( BarbieandKillers of the Flower Moon)Tier 3 : the frontrunners ( Oppenheimer , Poor Things , andThe Zone of Interest ) .
Aw , who am I pull the leg of ?
This was i ’m try out to construct up suspense , but there is n’t any : best picture is go tooppenheimer .
As take note byVanity Fair , Oppenheimer , a well - deserve decisive and commercial-grade smash , make headway the top dirty money at the Golden Globes , Critics Choice Awards , Screen Actors Guild Awards , Directors Guild Awards , Producers Guild Awards , and the British Academy Film Awards The last clip that happened?Argo , which saidgo f*ck yourselfto the competitor .
Oppenheimeris Christopher Nolan ’s third celluloid to be appoint for Best Picture — it will be the first to gain .